IMD to start issuing predictions for major malaria outbreak from next monsoon, says official

IMD to start issuing predictions for major malaria outbreak from next monsoon, says official

New Delhi: The India Meteorological Department (IMD) will begin issuing forecast for malaria outbreaks from subsequent monsoon, Ministry of Earth Sciences secretary M Rajeevan mentioned on Saturday.

Delivering a lecture on ‘current advances in climate and local weather predictions’, organised by the Indian Academy of Sciences, Rajeevan mentioned India additionally plans to ramp up its high-performance computing (HPC) facility from the prevailing capability of 10 petaflops to 40 petaflops, a step that can considerably assist in enhancing climate predictions.

Currently, India is barely subsequent to the US, the UK and Japan in HPC.

A report launched by the Ministry of Earth Sciences this week mentioned practically Rs 990 crore spent on the National Monsoon Mission and HPC had yielded dividend 50 occasions the funding made.

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On the prediction of any vector-borne illness outbreak, the IMD studied the phenomenon of prevalence in malaria and its relationship with rainfall and temperature, Rajeevan later instructed PTI.

“The IMD first studied the malaria data it got from Nagpur. This can be applied to other places as well. This can give predictions on large scale malaria outbreaks,” Rajeevan mentioned.

He mentioned the identical method will be utilized to different monsoon-related ailments similar to dengue and cholera.

”The IMD will make the malaria forecast service operational by the subsequent monsoon,” he mentioned.

Malaria is rampant in components of Africa and sub-tropical international locations.

According to the World Malaria Report 2019, 19 international locations in sub-Saharan Africa and India carried nearly 85 per cent of the worldwide malaria burden.

According to the National Health Portal, nearly all of malaria instances are reported from japanese and central a part of the nation and from states which have forest, hilly and tribal areas.

These states embody Odisha, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, and a few northeastern states like Tripura, Meghalaya and Mizoram.

In India, malaria instances have persistently declined from 2.08 million in 2001 to about four lakh in 2018. Of the international locations hardest hit by malaria, solely India confirmed progress in lowering its illness burden, the NHP mentioned.

In his lecture, Rajeevan mentioned 90 per cent of the meteorology-related knowledge comes from satellites. The remainder of it comes from typical sources like Doppler radars, buoys within the sea, ship and plane commentary and different observations. 

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